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Polls suggest local incumbents are on the path to victory in provincial election

June 1, 2022

If the polls are correct, it seems likely the area will return Monte McNaughton and Bob Bailey to Queen’s Park as Ontario voters head to the polls Thursday.

An online, left-leaning strategic voting website – Votewell – is predicting the Incumbent Conservative MPP in Lambton-Kent-Middlesex and current Labour Minister has a comfortable lead in the local polls. It has determined that McNaughton is leading with about 53 per cent of decided voters support. The NDP’s Vanessa Benoit, according to Votewell, is the second choice of voters with 25 per cent support. The new parties, including the New Blue, Ontario Party and the Populist Party of Ontario, have about eight per cent support in the riding.

In Sarnia-Lambton, Incumbent Bob Bailey is garnering 51 per cent of the support in local polls according to Votewell. The NDP and first-time candidate Dylan Stelpstra have about 28 per cent support. 

The three new parties, grouped as independents by Votewell, have about eight per cent support in the riding – one percentage point more than the Liberal candidate Mark Russell.

Polls across the province are pointing to another Conservative government in Ontario.

Election results will be available on The Independent’s website as they become available June 2. 

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